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FA Cup | Second Round Qualifying
Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
Lookers Vauxhall Stadium

Chester
3 - 0
Hebburn Town

Peers (29', 80'), Glendon (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the FA Cup Second Round Qualifying clash between Chester FC and Hebburn Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chester 1-0 South Shields
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Workington 0-1 Hebburn Town
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 57.36%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Hebburn Town had a probability of 19.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Hebburn Town win it was 0-1 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chester FC would win this match.

Result
Chester FCDrawHebburn Town
57.36% (0.020999999999994 0.02) 22.98% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 19.66% (-0.026 -0.03)
Both teams to score 51.26% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.93% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)48.07% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.76% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)70.23% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Chester FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.49% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)16.51% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.76% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)46.24%
Hebburn Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.39% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)38.61% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.65% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)75.35% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Chester FC 57.35%
    Hebburn Town 19.66%
    Draw 22.97%
Chester FCDrawHebburn Town
1-0 @ 11.47% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.34% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.84% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-0 @ 6.21% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.91% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 2.8% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 2.66% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.27% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 57.35%
1-1 @ 10.92%
0-0 @ 6.37% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.68% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 1%
Total : 22.97%
0-1 @ 6.07%
1-2 @ 5.2% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.89% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
1-3 @ 1.65% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 0.92% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 19.66%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Chester 1-0 South Shields
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Kidderminster 1-1 Chester
Tuesday, September 3 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Chester 3-0 P'boro Sports
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Chester 3-2 Scarborough Ath
Monday, August 26 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 2-2 Chester
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Chester 2-0 Radcliffe
Tuesday, August 20 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Workington 0-1 Hebburn Town
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Hebburn Town 1-7 Gateshead
Tuesday, July 9 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3


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