Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hastings United win with a probability of 44.32%. A win for Cray Wanderers had a probability of 32.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hastings United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.69%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Cray Wanderers win was 2-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
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