Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deal Town win with a probability of 61.81%. A win for Roffey had a probability of 19.62% and a draw had a probability of 18.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deal Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.42%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Roffey win was 1-2 (4.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Deal Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Deal Town | Draw | Roffey |
61.81% ( -0.74) | 18.56% ( 0.28) | 19.62% ( 0.47) |
Both teams to score 67.16% ( -0.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.63% ( -0.62) | 27.36% ( 0.62) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
52.05% ( -0.78) | 47.95% ( 0.79) |
Deal Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.27% ( -0.33) | 8.72% ( 0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70% ( -0.82) | 29.99% ( 0.82) |
Roffey Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.58% ( 0.03) | 26.42% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.41% ( 0.03) | 61.58% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Deal Town | Draw | Roffey |
2-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 7.42% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 5.57% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 4.53% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 3.4% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 2.21% ( -0.09) 5-0 @ 1.66% ( -0.07) 5-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.06) 4-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.03) Other @ 4.67% Total : 61.81% | 1-1 @ 7.48% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 6.07% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 2.3% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.51% Total : 18.56% | 1-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 3.07% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.73% Total : 19.62% |
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