Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunston win with a probability of 70.72%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Whickham had a probability of 13.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunston win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.55%) and 3-1 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.95%), while for a Whickham win it was 1-2 (3.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunston would win this match.
