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League Two | Gameweek 7
Oct 20, 2020 at 7pm UK
St. James' Park
CT

Exeter
2 - 1
Crawley

Taylor (77'), Bowman (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Watters (40')
Frost (45')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Exeter City and Crawley Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 55.47%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 19.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (7.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawCrawley Town
55.47%25.12%19.41%
Both teams to score 44.71%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.4%56.6%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.42%77.57%
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.6%20.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.17%52.83%
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.16%43.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.01%79.99%
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 55.46%
    Crawley Town 19.41%
    Draw 25.11%
Exeter CityDrawCrawley Town
1-0 @ 14.21%
2-0 @ 11.29%
2-1 @ 9.32%
3-0 @ 5.99%
3-1 @ 4.94%
4-0 @ 2.38%
3-2 @ 2.04%
4-1 @ 1.96%
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 55.46%
1-1 @ 11.72%
0-0 @ 8.94%
2-2 @ 3.84%
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 25.11%
0-1 @ 7.38%
1-2 @ 4.84%
0-2 @ 3.04%
1-3 @ 1.33%
2-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 19.41%


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