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FA Cup | First Round
Nov 7, 2020 at 5.30pm UK
Broadhurst Park
DR

FC United
1 - 5
Doncaster

Linney (30')
FT(HT: 1-4)
Okenabirhie (13'), Whiteman (21'), Sims (33', 50'), Coppinger (42')
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round clash between FC United of Manchester and Doncaster Rovers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 61.76%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for FC United of Manchester had a probability of 17.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.58%) and 0-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%), while for a FC United of Manchester win it was 2-1 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.

Result
FC United of ManchesterDrawDoncaster Rovers
17.86%20.38%61.76%
Both teams to score 56.62%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.64%39.36%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.3%61.7%
FC United of Manchester Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.53%35.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.76%72.23%
Doncaster Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.74%12.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62%37.99%
Score Analysis
    FC United of Manchester 17.86%
    Doncaster Rovers 61.76%
    Draw 20.38%
FC United of ManchesterDrawDoncaster Rovers
2-1 @ 4.9%
1-0 @ 4.51%
2-0 @ 2.34%
3-2 @ 1.78%
3-1 @ 1.69%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 17.86%
1-1 @ 9.46%
2-2 @ 5.15%
0-0 @ 4.35%
3-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 20.38%
1-2 @ 9.93%
0-2 @ 9.58%
0-1 @ 9.13%
1-3 @ 6.95%
0-3 @ 6.7%
1-4 @ 3.64%
2-3 @ 3.6%
0-4 @ 3.52%
2-4 @ 1.89%
1-5 @ 1.53%
0-5 @ 1.48%
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 61.76%


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