Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 42.5%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 31.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.