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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gainsborough Trinity win with a probability of 46.82%. A win for Boston United had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gainsborough Trinity win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Boston United win was 0-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gainsborough Trinity | Draw | Boston United |
46.82% ( 0.17) | 24.58% ( 0.03) | 28.6% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 56.2% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.62% ( -0.25) | 46.38% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.34% ( -0.23) | 68.66% ( 0.23) |
| Gainsborough Trinity Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.11% ( -0.03) | 19.89% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.99% ( -0.05) | 52.01% ( 0.05) |
| Boston United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.15% ( -0.27) | 29.85% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.06% ( -0.33) | 65.94% ( 0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gainsborough Trinity | Draw | Boston United |
| 1-0 @ 9.59% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 5.04% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.03% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.93% Total : 46.82% | 1-1 @ 11.59% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.58% | 0-1 @ 7.18% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.01% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.22% Total : 28.6% |
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