Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gorleston win with a probability of 41.35%. A win for Waltham Forest had a probability of 36.02% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gorleston win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.93%) and 2-0 (5.21%). The likeliest Waltham Forest win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gorleston would win this match.