FA Cup | Preliminary Round
Aug 17, 2024 at 3pm UK
Mulberry Park
Coverage of the FA Cup Preliminary Round clash between Mulbarton Wanderers and Gorleston.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gorleston win with a probability of 60.34%. A win for Mulbarton Wanderers had a probability of 20.78% and a draw had a probability of 18.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gorleston win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.29%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Mulbarton Wanderers win was 2-1 (5.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gorleston would win this match.
| Result |
| Mulbarton Wanderers | Draw | Gorleston |
| 20.78% | 18.88% | 60.34% |
| Both teams to score 67.92% |
| Mulbarton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
Mulbarton Wanderers 20.78%
Gorleston 60.34%
Draw 18.88%
| Mulbarton Wanderers | Draw | Gorleston |
2-1 @ 5.18%
1-0 @ 3.13%
3-2 @ 2.85%
3-1 @ 2.37%
2-0 @ 2.15%
3-0 @ 0.98%
4-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 20.78%
| 1-1 @ 7.54%
2-2 @ 6.23%
3-3 @ 2.29%
0-0 @ 2.28%
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 18.88%
| 1-2 @ 9.08%
1-3 @ 7.29%
0-2 @ 6.62%
0-1 @ 5.5%
0-3 @ 5.31%
2-3 @ 5%
1-4 @ 4.38%
0-4 @ 3.2%
2-4 @ 3.01%
1-5 @ 2.11%
0-5 @ 1.54%
2-5 @ 1.45%
3-4 @ 1.38%
Other @ 4.49%
Total : 60.34%
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