Gresley
4 - 2
Lichfield City

Coverage of the FA Cup Extra Preliminary Round clash between Gresley and Lichfield City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lichfield City win with a probability of 48.36%. A win for Gresley had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lichfield City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.06%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest Gresley win was 2-1 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.17%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
Gresley	Draw	Lichfield City
29.83% ( -1.46)	21.81% ( -0.27)	48.36% ( 1.74)

Both teams to score 67.05% (

0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.52% (

0.54)

32.48% (

-0.54)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.88% (

0.63)

54.12% (

-0.63)

Gresley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.97% (

-0.57)

22.04% (

0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.64% (

-0.86)

55.36% (

0.86)

Lichfield City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86% (

0.79)

14% (

-0.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.48% (

1.53)

41.52% (

-1.53)

Score Analysis

Gresley 29.83%

Lichfield City 48.36%

Draw 21.81%

Gresley	Draw	Lichfield City
2-1 @ 6.94% ( -0.25) 1-0 @ 4.67% ( -0.22) 2-0 @ 3.53% ( -0.23) 3-1 @ 3.5% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 1.78% ( -0.15) 4-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.36% Total : 29.83%	1-1 @ 9.17% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 6.82% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.47% Total : 21.81%	1-2 @ 9.02% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 6.06% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.96% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 5.91% ( 0.23) 2-3 @ 4.47% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 3.91% ( 0.21) 1-4 @ 2.91% ( 0.19) 2-4 @ 2.2% ( 0.11) 0-4 @ 1.92% ( 0.16) 1-5 @ 1.14% ( 0.1) 3-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.75% Total : 48.36%