Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stourbridge win with a probability of 39.22%. A win for Harborough Town had a probability of 36.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stourbridge win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.88%) and 0-2 (5.95%). The likeliest Harborough Town win was 2-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
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