FA Cup | First Round Qualifying Replays
Sep 3, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The SKYex Community Stadium
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying Replays clash between Hayes & Yeading and Margate.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Margate win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for Hayes & Yeading had a probability of 35.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Margate win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.07%) and 0-2 (5.81%). The likeliest Hayes & Yeading win was 2-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Margate would win this match.
| Result |
| Hayes & Yeading | Draw | Margate |
35.2% ( 0.75) | 23.59% ( 0.07) | 41.21% ( -0.82) |
| Both teams to score 62.72% ( -0.07) |
| 60.87% ( -0.17) | 39.12% ( 0.17) |
| 38.54% ( -0.18) | 61.45% ( 0.18) |
| 77.75% ( 0.32) | 22.24% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.32% ( 0.48) | 55.67% ( -0.49) |
| 80.65% ( -0.43) | 19.34% ( 0.43) |
