Hayes & Yeading United
2 - 2
Carlisle

Carlisle win 4-3 on penalties

Rowe (104'), Nasha (108')
Williams (17'), Rowe (40'), McDevitt (72'), Sheppard (85')

FT
(aet)

Mellish (118', 120+1')
Patrick (9'), Furman (77')

Coverage of the FA Cup First Round clash between Hayes & Yeading and Carlisle United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 57.83%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Hayes & Yeading United had a probability of 20.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.4%) and 0-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a Hayes & Yeading United win it was 2-1 (5.46%).

Result
Hayes & Yeading	Draw	Carlisle United
20.45%	21.72%	57.83%

Both teams to score 56.68%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.51%

41.49%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.11%

63.89%

Hayes & Yeading Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.98%

34.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.3%

70.7%

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.9%

14.1%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.28%

41.72%

Score Analysis

Hayes & Yeading 20.45%

Carlisle United 57.83%

Draw 21.71%

Hayes & Yeading	Draw	Carlisle United
2-1 @ 5.46% 1-0 @ 5.17% 2-0 @ 2.79% 3-1 @ 1.96% 3-2 @ 1.92% 3-0 @ 1% Other @ 2.13% Total : 20.45%	1-1 @ 10.13% 2-2 @ 5.35% 0-0 @ 4.8% 3-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.71%	1-2 @ 9.93% 0-1 @ 9.4% 0-2 @ 9.2% 1-3 @ 6.48% 0-3 @ 6.01% 2-3 @ 3.5% 1-4 @ 3.17% 0-4 @ 2.94% 2-4 @ 1.71% 1-5 @ 1.24% 0-5 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.1% Total : 57.83%