Holmesdale
0 - 1
Crawley Down Gatwick

Coverage of the FA Cup Extra Preliminary Round clash between Holmesdale and Crawley Down Gatwick.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Down Gatwick win with a probability of 50.4%. A win for Holmesdale had a probability of 28.61% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Down Gatwick win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.22%) and 0-2 (5.69%). The likeliest Holmesdale win was 2-1 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crawley Down Gatwick would win this match.

Result
Holmesdale	Draw	Crawley Down Gatwick
28.61% ( 0.23)	20.98% ( 0.06)	50.4% ( -0.28)

Both teams to score 69.31% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.81% (

-0.11)

29.19% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

49.79% (

-0.13)

50.21% (

0.13)

Holmesdale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.92% (

0.07)

21.08% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.11% (

0.12)

53.89% (

-0.12)

Crawley Down Gatwick Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.81% (

-0.12)

12.18% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.17% (

-0.25)

37.83% (

0.25)

Score Analysis

Holmesdale 28.61%

Crawley Down Gatwick 50.4%

Draw 20.98%

Holmesdale	Draw	Crawley Down Gatwick
2-1 @ 6.55% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 4% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.4% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 3.11% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 2.66% Total : 28.61%	1-1 @ 8.42% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.9% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 2.51% ( -0) Other @ 0.59% Total : 20.98%	1-2 @ 8.86% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 6.22% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.41% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 4.84% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.99% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 3.27% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 2.55% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 2.1% ( -0.03) 1-5 @ 1.38% ( -0.02) 3-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) 2-5 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.71% Total : 50.4%