Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Down Gatwick win with a probability of 50.4%. A win for Holmesdale had a probability of 28.61% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Down Gatwick win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.22%) and 0-2 (5.69%). The likeliest Holmesdale win was 2-1 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crawley Down Gatwick would win this match.
Result | ||
Holmesdale | Draw | Crawley Down Gatwick |
28.61% ( 0.23) | 20.98% ( 0.06) | 50.4% ( -0.28) |
Both teams to score 69.31% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.81% ( -0.11) | 29.19% ( 0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
49.79% ( -0.13) | 50.21% ( 0.13) |
Holmesdale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.92% ( 0.07) | 21.08% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.11% ( 0.12) | 53.89% ( -0.12) |
Crawley Down Gatwick Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.81% ( -0.12) | 12.18% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.17% ( -0.25) | 37.83% ( 0.25) |
Score Analysis |
Holmesdale | Draw | Crawley Down Gatwick |
2-1 @ 6.55% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 4% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.4% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 3.11% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 2.66% Total : 28.61% | 1-1 @ 8.42% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.9% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 2.51% ( -0) Other @ 0.59% Total : 20.98% | 1-2 @ 8.86% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 6.22% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.41% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 4.84% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.99% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 3.27% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 2.55% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 2.1% ( -0.03) 1-5 @ 1.38% ( -0.02) 3-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) 2-5 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.71% Total : 50.4% |
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