Horsham YMCA
5 - 1
Newhaven

Coverage of the FA Cup Extra Preliminary Round clash between Horsham YMCA and Newhaven.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Horsham YMCA win with a probability of 42.41%. A win for Newhaven had a probability of 34.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Horsham YMCA win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.68%) and 2-0 (5.74%). The likeliest Newhaven win was 1-2 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Horsham YMCA would win this match.

Result
Horsham YMCA	Draw	Newhaven
42.41% ( 0.27)	23.13% ( 0.23)	34.45% ( -0.5)

Both teams to score 64.27% (

-1.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.98% (

-1.27)

37.02% (

1.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.79% (

-1.39)

59.21% (

1.38)

Horsham YMCA Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.05% (

-0.41)

17.95% (

0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.21% (

-0.71)

48.78% (

0.7)

Newhaven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.34% (

-0.85)

21.66% (

0.84)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.2% (

-1.31)

54.79% (

1.3)

Score Analysis

Horsham YMCA 42.41%

Newhaven 34.45%

Draw 23.13%

Horsham YMCA	Draw	Newhaven
2-1 @ 8.77% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.32) 2-0 @ 5.74% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 5.02% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.84% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 3.28% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 2.16% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.87% Total : 42.41%	1-1 @ 10.21% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 6.71% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.24) 3-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.36% Total : 23.13%	1-2 @ 7.81% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.95% ( 0.22) 0-2 @ 4.55% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.98% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.08) 2-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.58% Total : 34.45%