Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 47.38%. A win for Maldon & Tiptree had a probability of 28.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.24%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Maldon & Tiptree win was 2-1 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Morecambe would win this match.
