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League Two | Gameweek 6
Oct 17, 2020 at 3pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
M

Crawley
4 - 0
Morecambe

Francomb (52'), Watters (67', 71'), Frost (77')
Francomb (54')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the League Two clash between Crawley Town and Morecambe.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 46.82%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 26.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.01%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (8.88%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crawley Town would win this match.

Result
Crawley TownDrawMorecambe
46.82%26.77%26.41%
Both teams to score 47.84%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.48%56.52%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.49%77.51%
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.87%24.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.56%58.45%
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.06%36.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.27%73.73%
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 46.82%
    Morecambe 26.41%
    Draw 26.77%
Crawley TownDrawMorecambe
1-0 @ 12.67%
2-0 @ 9.01%
2-1 @ 8.97%
3-0 @ 4.27%
3-1 @ 4.25%
3-2 @ 2.12%
4-0 @ 1.52%
4-1 @ 1.51%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 46.82%
1-1 @ 12.62%
0-0 @ 8.92%
2-2 @ 4.47%
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 26.77%
0-1 @ 8.88%
1-2 @ 6.29%
0-2 @ 4.42%
1-3 @ 2.09%
2-3 @ 1.48%
0-3 @ 1.47%
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 26.41%


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