FA Cup | Extra Preliminary Round
Aug 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
HD Anywhere Stadium
Coverage of the FA Cup Extra Preliminary Round clash between Malvern Town and Hereford Pegasus.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malvern Town win with a probability of 45.51%. A win for Hereford Pegasus had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malvern Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.63%) and 1-0 (5.02%). The likeliest Hereford Pegasus win was 1-2 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Malvern Town in this match.
| Result |
| Malvern Town | Draw | Hereford Pegasus |
45.51% ( -0.32) | 21.41% ( 0.14) | 33.08% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 70.44% ( -0.49) |
| 71.2% ( -0.66) | 28.8% ( 0.66) |
| 50.26% ( -0.82) | 49.74% ( 0.82) |
| 86.44% ( -0.36) | 13.56% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 59.35% ( -0.72) | 40.65% ( 0.72) |
| 81.49% ( -0.23) | 18.51% ( 0.23) |
