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FA Cup | First Round Qualifying
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
Penydarren Park

Merthyr Town
3 - 2
Cribbs

Twamley (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Croome (44')
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying clash between Merthyr Town and Cribbs.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Buxton 2-0 Merthyr Town
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Last Game: Cribbs 2-0 Roman Glass St George
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Merthyr Town win with a probability of 66.49%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Cribbs had a probability of 15.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Merthyr Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.66%) and 3-1 (7.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.87%), while for a Cribbs win it was 1-2 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Merthyr Town would win this match.

Result
Merthyr TownDrawCribbs
66.49%17.91% (0.0010000000000012 0) 15.6%
Both teams to score 60.79%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.32% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)31.68% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.81% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)53.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Merthyr Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.12%8.87% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.63%30.37% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Cribbs Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.71%33.28% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.1% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)69.9% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Merthyr Town 66.49%
    Cribbs 15.6%
    Draw 17.91%
Merthyr TownDrawCribbs
2-1 @ 9.53% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 8.66% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 7.69%
1-0 @ 7.15%
3-0 @ 6.99%
4-1 @ 4.66%
4-0 @ 4.24%
3-2 @ 4.23%
4-2 @ 2.56%
5-1 @ 2.26%
5-0 @ 2.05%
5-2 @ 1.24% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-3 @ 0.94%
6-1 @ 0.91%
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 66.49%
1-1 @ 7.87%
2-2 @ 5.24%
0-0 @ 2.95% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.55%
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 17.91%
1-2 @ 4.33%
0-1 @ 3.25%
2-3 @ 1.92%
0-2 @ 1.79%
1-3 @ 1.59%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 15.6%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Buxton 2-0 Merthyr Town
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Cribbs 2-0 Roman Glass St George
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in FA Cup


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