FA Cup | First Round
Nov 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Silverlands
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round clash between Buxton and Merthyr Town.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 64.28%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Merthyr Town had a probability of 15.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 2-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Merthyr Town win it was 0-1 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Buxton in this match.
| Result |
| Buxton | Draw | Merthyr Town |
64.28% ( -0) | 20.25% ( 0.01) | 15.47% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 51.76% ( -0.05) |
| 56.8% ( -0.06) | 43.2% ( 0.07) |
| 34.4% ( -0.06) | 65.6% ( 0.07) |
| 87.28% ( -0.02) | 12.72% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 61.05% ( -0.04) | 38.95% ( 0.05) |
| 59.31% ( -0.05) | 40.7% ( 0.05) |
