FA Cup | First Round Qualifying
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
Lyme Valley Stadium
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying clash between Newcastle Town and Long Eaton United FC.
Form, Standings, Stats
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Long Eaton United FC win with a probability of 38.39%. A win for Newcastle Town had a probability of 38.37% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Long Eaton United FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.31%) and 0-2 (5.12%). The likeliest Newcastle Town win was 2-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
| Result |
| Newcastle Town | Draw | Long Eaton United FC |
38.37% ( -0.01) | 23.23% ( -0) | 38.39% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 64.46% ( 0.01) |
| 63.01% ( 0.01) | 36.99% ( -0.02) |
| 40.82% ( 0.01) | 59.18% ( -0.02) |
| 80.28% | 19.71% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.27% ( 0) | 51.72% ( -0.01) |
| Long Eaton United FC Goals |
| 80.29% ( 0.01) | 19.7% ( -0.01) |
