Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 86.62%. A draw had a probability of 9.1% and a win for Long Eaton United FC had a probability of 4.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-3 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.83%) and 0-4 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.28%), while for a Long Eaton United FC win it was 2-1 (1.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.