Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newmarket Town win with a probability of 44.44%. A win for March Town United had a probability of 33% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newmarket Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.29%) and 2-0 (5.72%). The likeliest March Town United win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newmarket Town would win this match.