FA Cup | Extra Preliminary Round

Aug 3, 2024 at 3pm UK

The Pavilion

Newport Pagnell
3 - 3
Ilford

Data Analysis

Coverage of the FA Cup Extra Preliminary Round clash between Newport Pagnell Town and Ilford.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport Pagnell Town

Last Game: Newport Pagnell 0-6 MK Dons
Saturday, July 18 at 1pm in Pre-Season Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport Pagnell Town win with a probability of 61.78%. A win for Ilford had a probability of 19.97% and a draw had a probability of 18.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport Pagnell Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.41%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Ilford win was 1-2 (4.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result
Newport Pagnell Town	Draw	Ilford
61.78% ( -0.11)	18.25% ( 0.01)	19.97% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 69.08% (

0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

74.74% (

0.11)

25.25% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

54.75% (

0.15)

45.24% (

-0.15)

Newport Pagnell Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.87% (

0.01)

8.13% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.47% (

0.02)

28.53% (

-0.02)

Ilford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.19% (

0.16)

24.81% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.61% (

0.22)

59.39% (

-0.22)

Score Analysis

Newport Pagnell Town 61.78%

Ilford 19.97%

Draw 18.25%

Newport Pagnell Town	Draw	Ilford
2-1 @ 8.85% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 7.41% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.35% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 5.31% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 5.16% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 5.06% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 4.65% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.33% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 2.33% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.63% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 4.3% Total : 61.78%	1-1 @ 7.06% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 2.02% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.61% Total : 18.25%	1-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 2.81% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.96% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.22% Total : 19.97%