FA Cup | Extra Preliminary Round
Aug 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
Hillcrest Avenue
Coverage of the FA Cup Extra Preliminary Round clash between OJM Black Country and Chasetown.
Form, Standings, Stats
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chasetown win with a probability of 68.86%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for OJM Black Country had a probability of 14.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chasetown win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.53%) and 1-3 (7.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.31%), while for a OJM Black Country win it was 2-1 (3.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Chasetown in this match.
Result |
OJM Black Country | Draw | Chasetown |
14.25% ( 0.17) | 16.89% ( 0.27) | 68.86% ( -0.44) |
Both teams to score 61.22% ( -0.67) |
70.4% ( -1.01) | 29.59% ( 1.01) |
49.29% ( -1.24) | 50.7% ( 1.24) |
66.42% ( -0.48) | 33.57% ( 0.48) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.78% ( -0.53) | 70.21% ( 0.53) |
92.16% ( -0.34) | 7.83% ( 0.34) |