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FA Cup | First Round Replays
Nov 16, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Boundary Park
IL

Oldham
1 - 2
Ipswich

McGahey (29')
Clarke (22'), Keillor-Dunn (59')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Chaplin (36'), El Mizouni (81')
Woolfenden (27')
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Replays clash between Oldham Athletic and Ipswich Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 56.96%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 21.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.76%) and 0-2 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.96%), while for a Oldham Athletic win it was 2-1 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Ipswich Town in this match.

Result
Oldham AthleticDrawIpswich Town
21.42%21.62%56.96%
Both teams to score 58.57%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.3%39.7%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.94%62.06%
Oldham Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.93%32.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.46%68.54%
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.22%13.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.91%41.09%
Score Analysis
    Oldham Athletic 21.42%
    Ipswich Town 56.96%
    Draw 21.62%
Oldham AthleticDrawIpswich Town
2-1 @ 5.66%
1-0 @ 5.03%
2-0 @ 2.86%
3-1 @ 2.15%
3-2 @ 2.13%
3-0 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 21.42%
1-1 @ 9.96%
2-2 @ 5.61%
0-0 @ 4.42%
3-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 21.62%
1-2 @ 9.87%
0-1 @ 8.76%
0-2 @ 8.68%
1-3 @ 6.52%
0-3 @ 5.74%
2-3 @ 3.71%
1-4 @ 3.23%
0-4 @ 2.84%
2-4 @ 1.84%
1-5 @ 1.28%
0-5 @ 1.13%
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 56.96%

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