Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 55.89%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 21.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Oldham Athletic win it was 0-1 (6.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.
