Oldland Abbotonians
2 - 4
Amersham Town

Coverage of the FA Cup Extra Preliminary Round clash between Oldland Abbotonians and Amersham Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Amersham Town win with a probability of 44.38%. A win for Oldland Abbotonians had a probability of 35.14% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Amersham Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.47%) and 2-3 (5.18%). The likeliest Oldland Abbotonians win was 2-1 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Amersham Town would win this match.

Result
Oldland Abbotonians	Draw	Amersham Town
35.14% ( 0.05)	20.48% ( 0.01)	44.38% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 74.94% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

76.65% (

-0.04)

23.35% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

57.27% (

-0.05)

42.74% (

0.05)

Oldland Abbotonians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.97% (

15.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.49% (

43.51%

Amersham Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.19% (

-0.03)

11.81% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.96% (

-0.07)

37.04% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Oldland Abbotonians 35.14%

Amersham Town 44.38%

Draw 20.48%

Oldland Abbotonians	Draw	Amersham Town
2-1 @ 6.81% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 4.6% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.3% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 3.36% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.19% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.18% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.04% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 1.55% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 4.15% Total : 35.14%	2-2 @ 7.27% ( 0) 1-1 @ 7.19% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 3.27% ( -0) 0-0 @ 1.78% ( 0) Other @ 0.98% Total : 20.48%	1-2 @ 7.68% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.47% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 5.18% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.05% 0-1 @ 3.79% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.92% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.88% ( -0) 2-4 @ 2.77% ( -0.01) 3-4 @ 1.75% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.54% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.25% ( -0) 2-5 @ 1.18% ( -0) Other @ 3.94% Total : 44.38%