FA Cup | Extra Preliminary Round Replays
Aug 7, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The GMS Windows Arena
Coverage of the FA Cup Extra Preliminary Round Replays clash between Sherborne Town and Fareham Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sherborne Town win with a probability of 60.4%. A win for Fareham Town had a probability of 20.4% and a draw had a probability of 19.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sherborne Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.27%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Fareham Town win was 1-2 (5.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sherborne Town would win this match.
| Result |
| Sherborne Town | Draw | Fareham Town |
60.4% ( 0.16) | 19.2% ( -0.03) | 20.4% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 65.99% ( -0.07) |
| 70.62% ( -0) | 29.38% ( 0.01) |
| 49.56% ( -0) | 50.44% ( 0) |
| 90.37% ( 0.04) | 9.62% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 67.84% ( 0.08) | 32.15% ( -0.08) |
| 73.02% ( -0.1) | 26.97% ( 0.11) |
