Spelthorne Sports
0 - 1
Burgess Hill Town

Coverage of the FA Cup Extra Preliminary Round clash between Spelthorne Sports and Burgess Hill Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgess Hill Town win with a probability of 49.61%. A win for Spelthorne Sports had a probability of 28.63% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burgess Hill Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.29%) and 0-2 (6.23%). The likeliest Spelthorne Sports win was 2-1 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burgess Hill Town would win this match.

Result
Spelthorne Sports	Draw	Burgess Hill Town
28.63% ( 0.02)	21.75% ( 0.01)	49.61% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 66.36% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.98% (

-0.02)

33.01% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.26% (

-0.02)

54.74% (

0.02)

Spelthorne Sports Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.97% (

23.02% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.16% (

0.01)

56.83% (

-0.01)

Burgess Hill Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.21% (

-0.02)

13.78% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.89% (

-0.03)

41.1% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Spelthorne Sports 28.63%

Burgess Hill Town 49.61%

Draw 21.75%

Spelthorne Sports	Draw	Burgess Hill Town
2-1 @ 6.78% ( 0) 1-0 @ 4.66% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.42% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.32% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.29% 3-0 @ 1.68% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.05% Total : 28.63%	1-1 @ 9.24% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.72% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.17% ( 0) 3-3 @ 2.17% ( -0) Other @ 0.45% Total : 21.75%	1-2 @ 9.15% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.29% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.23% ( -0) 1-3 @ 6.05% ( -0) 2-3 @ 4.44% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.12% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.99% ( -0) 2-4 @ 2.2% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.04% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.19% ( -0) 3-4 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 3.85% Total : 49.61%