FA Cup | Preliminary Round
Aug 17, 2024 at 3pm UK
Forest Town Stadium
Coverage of the FA Cup Preliminary Round clash between AFC Mansfield and Carlton Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlton Town win with a probability of 70.96%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for AFC Mansfield had a probability of 13.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlton Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.09%) and 1-3 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.65%), while for an AFC Mansfield win it was 2-1 (3.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlton Town would win this match.
| Result |
| AFC Mansfield | Draw | Carlton Town |
13.2% ( -0.47) | 15.84% ( -0.4) | 70.96% ( 0.86) |
| Both teams to score 62.49% ( 0.24) |
| 73.22% ( 0.87) | 26.78% ( -0.87) |
| 52.79% ( 1.09) | 47.21% ( -1.09) |
| 67% ( -0.01) | 33% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.42% ( -0.01) | 69.58% ( 0.01) |
| 93.26% ( 0.37) | 6.74% ( -0.37) |
