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FA Cup | Extra Preliminary Round
Aug 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
Waterside Park

Thatcham Town
3 - 1
Christchurch

 
FT
Coverage of the FA Cup Extra Preliminary Round clash between Thatcham Town and Christchurch.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Thatcham Town win with a probability of 63.53%. A win for Christchurch had a probability of 18.76% and a draw had a probability of 17.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Thatcham Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.55%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Christchurch win was 1-2 (4.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (6.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Thatcham Town would win this match.

Result
Thatcham TownDrawChristchurch
63.53% (-0.854 -0.85) 17.72% (0.193 0.19) 18.76% (0.667 0.67)
Both teams to score 68.95% (0.599 0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.45% (0.205 0.2)24.55% (-0.2 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
55.67% (0.27 0.27)44.33% (-0.262 -0.26)
Thatcham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.42% (-0.107 -0.11)7.58% (0.114 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.87% (-0.289 -0.29)27.14% (0.295 0.3)
Christchurch Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.6% (0.738 0.74)25.4% (-0.731 -0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.8% (0.999 1)60.21% (-0.992 -0.99)
Score Analysis
    Thatcham Town 63.53%
    Christchurch 18.76%
    Draw 17.72%
Thatcham TownDrawChristchurch
2-1 @ 8.78% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-1 @ 7.55% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
2-0 @ 6.41% (-0.162 -0.16)
3-0 @ 5.51% (-0.173 -0.17)
3-2 @ 5.17% (0.057 0.06)
1-0 @ 4.97% (-0.096 -0.1)
4-1 @ 4.87% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-0 @ 3.55% (-0.133 -0.13)
4-2 @ 3.34% (0.018 0.02)
5-1 @ 2.51% (-0.055 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.83% (-0.079 -0.08)
5-2 @ 1.72% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-3 @ 1.52% (0.04 0.04)
6-1 @ 1.08% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 4.72%
Total : 63.53%
1-1 @ 6.81% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.02% (0.101 0.1)
3-3 @ 2.36% (0.074 0.07)
0-0 @ 1.93% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 17.72%
1-2 @ 4.66% (0.105 0.11)
2-3 @ 2.75% (0.102 0.1)
0-1 @ 2.64% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.13% (0.091 0.09)
0-2 @ 1.81% (0.051 0.05)
2-4 @ 0.94% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 3.83%
Total : 18.76%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for Thatcham Town


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