Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gosport Borough win with a probability of 38.99%. A win for Gloucester City had a probability of 37.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gosport Borough win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.65%) and 0-2 (5.35%). The likeliest Gloucester City win was 2-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gosport Borough would win this match.
