Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Winchester City win with a probability of 38.82%. A win for Weymouth had a probability of 37.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Winchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.35%) and 0-2 (5.19%). The likeliest Weymouth win was 2-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
