Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hungerford Town win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Winchester City had a probability of 36.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hungerford Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.48%) and 0-2 (5.39%). The likeliest Winchester City win was 2-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.