Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willand Rovers win with a probability of 57.45%. A win for Mousehole had a probability of 21.51% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willand Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.21%) and 1-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Mousehole win was 1-2 (5.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Willand Rovers would win this match.
