Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Workington win with a probability of 41.58%. A win for Hebburn Town had a probability of 34.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Workington win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.02%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest Hebburn Town win was 1-2 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
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