Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 52.16%. A win for Workington had a probability of 25.09% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.96%). The likeliest Workington win was 2-1 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
-0.08) 
0.1) 
