Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 85.21%. A draw had a probability of 10.2% and a win for Trento had a probability of 4.56%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.3%) and 4-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.86%), while for a Trento win it was 0-1 (1.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
0.13) 
-0.11) 
