Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 70.32%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Novara had a probability of 12.38%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 1-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.06%), while for a Novara win it was 1-2 (3.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
-1.35) 
0.51) 
