SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 69.16%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Trencin had a probability of 14.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.39%) and 3-1 (7.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.17%), while for a Trencin win it was 1-2 (3.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Galatasaray | Draw | Trencin |
69.16% ( 0.06) | 16.7% ( -0.01) | 14.13% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 61.69% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.11% ( -0.09) | 28.89% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.16% ( -0.12) | 49.84% ( 0.12) |
| Galatasaray Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.4% ( -0.01) | 7.59% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.83% ( -0.03) | 27.16% ( 0.03) |
| Trencin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.76% ( -0.14) | 33.23% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.15% ( -0.16) | 69.85% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Galatasaray | Draw | Trencin |
| 2-1 @ 9.24% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 7.94% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.21% ( 0.03)1-0 @ 6.5% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 5.12% ( -0)4-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 2.64% ( -0)5-0 @ 2.4% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 1.13% ( -0)4-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 3.26% Total : 69.16% | 1-1 @ 7.17% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 2.52% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.32% Total : 16.7% | 1-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 2.78% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.53% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.56% Total : 14.13% |
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