SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 42.14%. A win for Fenerbahce had a probability of 33.89% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.69%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Fenerbahce win was 1-2 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Galatasaray | Draw | Fenerbahce |
42.14% ( -2.44) | 23.97% ( 0.8) | 33.89% ( 1.63) |
| Both teams to score 60.96% ( -2.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.71% ( -3.3) | 41.28% ( 3.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.32% ( -3.44) | 63.68% ( 3.44) |
| Galatasaray Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.16% ( -2.37) | 19.83% ( 2.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.08% ( -3.98) | 51.92% ( 3.97) |
| Fenerbahce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.03% ( -0.64) | 23.96% ( 0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.8% ( -0.92) | 58.19% ( 0.91) |
| Score Analysis |
| Galatasaray | Draw | Fenerbahce |
| 2-1 @ 8.89% ( -0.14) 1-0 @ 7.69% ( 0.58)2-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.79% ( -0.46)3-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.4)3-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.25)4-1 @ 1.94% ( -0.35)4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.28)4-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.22)Other @ 3.1% Total : 42.14% | 1-1 @ 10.98% ( 0.64) 2-2 @ 6.35% ( -0.22)0-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.68)3-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.22)Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.97% | 1-2 @ 7.85% ( 0.32) 0-1 @ 6.79% ( 0.86)0-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.53)1-3 @ 3.74% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.17)0-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.22)1-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.92% Total : 33.89% |
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