Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 81.29%. A draw had a probability of 12.9% and a win for Pergolettese had a probability of 5.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.41%) and 1-0 (10.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.12%), while for a Pergolettese win it was 0-1 (2.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
