SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 61.61%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 18.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.01%) and 0-1 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.14%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 2-1 (5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sassuolo | Draw | Inter Milan |
18.34% ( 3.98) | 20.05% ( 1.72) | 61.61% ( -5.7) |
| Both teams to score 58.82% ( 3.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.07% ( -0.36) | 36.92% ( 0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.89% ( -0.38) | 59.11% ( 0.38) |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.51% ( 4.54) | 33.48% ( -4.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.88% ( 4.67) | 70.12% ( -4.68) |
| Inter Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.43% ( -1.56) | 11.56% ( 1.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 63.49% ( -3.47) | 36.5% ( 3.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sassuolo | Draw | Inter Milan |
| 2-1 @ 5% ( 0.9) 1-0 @ 4.24% ( 0.56)2-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.54)3-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.45)3-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.5)Other @ 3% Total : 18.34% | 1-1 @ 9.14% ( 0.67) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.68)0-0 @ 3.87% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.25)Other @ 0.23% Total : 20.05% | 1-2 @ 9.86% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 9.01% ( -1.07)0-1 @ 8.35% ( -0.41)1-3 @ 7.09% ( -0.39)0-3 @ 6.48% ( -1.26)2-3 @ 3.88% ( 0.26)1-4 @ 3.82% ( -0.48)0-4 @ 3.5% ( -0.96)2-4 @ 2.09% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.65% ( -0.33)0-5 @ 1.51% ( -0.54)2-5 @ 0.9% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.47% Total : 61.61% |
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