Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 40.29%. A win for Inter Milan had a probability of 34.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Inter Milan win was 0-1 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Inter Milan in this match.

Result
AC Milan	Draw	Inter Milan
40.29% ( -0.31)	25.7% ( 0.12)	34.02% ( 0.19)

Both teams to score 54.94% (

-0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.87% (

-0.5)

49.13% (

0.5)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.8% (

-0.45)

71.2% (

0.45)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.9% (

-0.38)

24.1% (

0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.61% (

-0.55)

58.39% (

0.55)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.38% (

-0.12)

27.62% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.84% (

-0.15)

63.16% (

0.16)

Score Analysis

AC Milan 40.29%

Inter Milan 34.02%

Draw 25.69%

AC Milan	Draw	Inter Milan
1-0 @ 9.47% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.11% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 3.2% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.91% Total : 40.29%	1-1 @ 12.18% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.69%	0-1 @ 8.56% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 7.84% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 3.36% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 2.9% Total : 34.02%