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May 8, 2022 at 7.45pm UK at Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi, Verona
Hellas Verona
1 - 3
AC Milan
Faraoni (38')
Faraoni (45+1'), Ilic (70')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Tonali (45+3', 50'), Florenzi (86')
Leao (45+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Hellas Verona 1-2 AC Milan

With such a reliable front three, Verona should be fancied to break down even Milan's steadfast back four at some stage, but that may not prove enough to taste victory at the final whistle, given their visitors have lost only a single Serie A away game. The Rossoneri have not been prolific of late, but having Ibrahimovic back on the bench offers an invaluable option to mix things up if the game remains deadlocked in the tense final stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 48.98%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 26.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.53%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-0 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
Hellas VeronaDrawAC Milan
26.85% (-1.227 -1.23) 24.16% (0.074999999999999 0.07) 48.98% (1.149 1.15)
Both teams to score 56.22% (-1.255 -1.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.27% (-1.201 -1.2)45.72% (1.199 1.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.95% (-1.152 -1.15)68.04% (1.151 1.15)
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.19% (-1.538 -1.54)30.81% (1.533 1.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.92% (-1.847 -1.85)67.08% (1.845 1.85)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.25% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)18.75% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.87% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)50.13% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Hellas Verona 26.85%
    AC Milan 48.98%
    Draw 24.16%
Hellas VeronaDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 6.8% (0.061 0.06)
2-1 @ 6.7% (-0.229 -0.23)
2-0 @ 4% (-0.136 -0.14)
3-1 @ 2.63% (-0.208 -0.21)
3-2 @ 2.2% (-0.175 -0.18)
3-0 @ 1.57% (-0.124 -0.12)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 26.85%
1-1 @ 11.38% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 5.78% (0.29 0.29)
2-2 @ 5.61% (-0.194 -0.19)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.098 -0.1)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.16%
0-1 @ 9.67% (0.483 0.48)
1-2 @ 9.53% (0.081 0.08)
0-2 @ 8.09% (0.402 0.4)
1-3 @ 5.32% (0.044 0.04)
0-3 @ 4.52% (0.223 0.22)
2-3 @ 3.13% (-0.109 -0.11)
1-4 @ 2.23% (0.018 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.89% (0.093 0.09)
2-4 @ 1.31% (-0.045 -0.05)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 48.98%

Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Cagliari 1-2 Hellas Verona
Saturday, April 30 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Hellas Verona 1-1 Sampdoria
Saturday, April 23 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 1-2 Hellas Verona
Monday, April 18 at 8pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 2-0 Hellas Verona
Saturday, April 9 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Hellas Verona 1-0 Genoa
Monday, April 4 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Empoli 1-1 Hellas Verona
Sunday, March 20 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 1-0 Fiorentina
Sunday, May 1 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 1-2 AC Milan
Sunday, April 24 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 3-0 AC Milan
Tuesday, April 19 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: AC Milan 2-0 Genoa
Friday, April 15 at 8pm in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 0-0 AC Milan
Sunday, April 10 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 0-0 Bologna
Monday, April 4 at 7.45pm in Serie A
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Serie A Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli11005233
2Juventus11003033
3AC Milan11004223
4Atalanta BCAtalanta11002023
5Fiorentina11003213
6Inter Milan11002113
7Lazio11002113
8Torino11002113
9Roma11001013
10SpeziaSpezia11001013
11Cremonese100123-10
12Bologna100112-10
13Lecce100112-10
14Monza100112-10
15Empoli100101-10
16Salernitana100101-10
17Udinese100124-20
18Sampdoria100102-20
19Hellas VeronaHellas Verona100125-30
20SassuoloSassuolo100103-30
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Eredivisie Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ajax22009366
2PSV EindhovenPSV22009366
3SBV Excelsior22005146
4FC Twente22004046
5AZ AlkmaarAZ22005236
6Feyenoord21105234
7NEC21014223
8RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk20203302
9FC UtrechtUtrecht20202202
10Heerenveen20200002
11Sparta RotterdamSparta201123-11
12Cambuur201102-21
13FC VolendamVolendam201136-31
14EmmenEmmen201125-31
15Groningen201138-51
16Fortuna SittardSittard200226-40
17Vitesse200238-50
18Go Ahead Eagles200227-50
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