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Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fiorentina 2-0 Juventus
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: AC Milan 1-0 Fiorentina

Milan and Fiorentina have not drawn a Serie A fixture at San Siro since 2014, but this weekend's encounter could be a close-run affair, given the stakes for either side. An aberration against Inter aside, the Rossoneri have been defensively resolute for the past few months, so they can keep their visitors at arm's length and rely on their established ability to nick points by the slimmest of margins. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 63.31%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 15.94%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.01%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.85%), while for a Fiorentina win it was 0-1 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for AC Milan in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for AC Milan.

Result
AC MilanDrawFiorentina
63.31%20.75%15.94%
Both teams to score 51.19%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.49%44.51%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.12%66.88%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.59%13.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.65%40.35%
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.11%40.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.55%77.45%
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 63.3%
    Fiorentina 15.94%
    Draw 20.75%
AC MilanDrawFiorentina
2-0 @ 11.06%
1-0 @ 11.01%
2-1 @ 9.9%
3-0 @ 7.41%
3-1 @ 6.63%
4-0 @ 3.72%
4-1 @ 3.33%
3-2 @ 2.97%
5-0 @ 1.5%
4-2 @ 1.49%
5-1 @ 1.34%
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 63.3%
1-1 @ 9.85%
0-0 @ 5.48%
2-2 @ 4.43%
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 20.75%
0-1 @ 4.9%
1-2 @ 4.41%
0-2 @ 2.19%
2-3 @ 1.32%
1-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 15.94%

Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Lazio 1-2 AC Milan
Sunday, April 24 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 3-0 AC Milan
Tuesday, April 19 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: AC Milan 2-0 Genoa
Friday, April 15 at 8pm in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 0-0 AC Milan
Sunday, April 10 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 0-0 Bologna
Monday, April 4 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cagliari 0-1 AC Milan
Saturday, March 19 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 0-4 Udinese
Wednesday, April 27 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Salernitana 2-1 Fiorentina
Sunday, April 24 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 2-0 Fiorentina
Wednesday, April 20 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Fiorentina 1-0 Venezia
Saturday, April 16 at 3.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 2-3 Fiorentina
Sunday, April 10 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 1-0 Empoli
Sunday, April 3 at 11.30am in Serie A
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Serie A Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli11005233
2Juventus11003033
3AC Milan11004223
4Atalanta BCAtalanta11002023
5Fiorentina11003213
6Inter Milan11002113
7Lazio11002113
8Torino11002113
9Roma11001013
10SpeziaSpezia11001013
11Cremonese100123-10
12Bologna100112-10
13Lecce100112-10
14Monza100112-10
15Empoli100101-10
16Salernitana100101-10
17Udinese100124-20
18Sampdoria100102-20
19Hellas VeronaHellas Verona100125-30
20SassuoloSassuolo100103-30
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