Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 84.67%. A draw had a probability of 9.3% and a win for West Adelaide had a probability of 5.99%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 3-0 with a probability of 7.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.8%) and 4-0 (7.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.59%), while for a West Adelaide win it was 1-2 (1.76%). The actual scoreline of 8-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.
