Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 44.44%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.8%) and 0-2 (6.02%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 2-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Altrincham | Draw | Salford City |
32.6% ( -0.15) | 22.95% ( -0.04) | 44.44% ( 0.19) |
Both teams to score 64.26% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.23% ( 0.14) | 36.76% ( -0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.07% ( 0.15) | 58.93% ( -0.15) |
Altrincham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.45% ( -0.02) | 22.54% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.87% ( -0.02) | 56.13% ( 0.03) |
Salford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.96% ( 0.13) | 17.04% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.81% ( 0.23) | 47.19% ( -0.23) |
Score Analysis |
Altrincham | Draw | Salford City |
2-1 @ 7.54% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 5.72% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 4.26% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.75% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.31% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.12% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 3.27% Total : 32.6% | 1-1 @ 10.12% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.67% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.84% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.36% Total : 22.95% | 1-2 @ 8.96% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.8% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.02% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.29% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.94% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.55% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 2.34% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.74% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.57% ( 0.02) Other @ 4.24% Total : 44.44% |
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